Before the IMF forecast: how changing the weights changes world growth
Ahead of the IMF’s October forecast, a simple two-economy example shows how weights, sensitivity and revisions can change a world-growth headline.
Priya Shah
Priya Shah covers forecasts, valuation assumptions and the limits of tidy-looking numbers. She makes the inputs visible before examining the answer, using straightforward examples to show what changes a conclusion. Priya also enjoys logic puzzles and making ceramics, especially mugs with slightly wonky handles.